Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commi sion if you sign up through our links. Read our for more information. The Mets have finally cooled off, dropping back-to-back games after a six-game win streak. Luis Severino will toe the rubber for the Mets on Tuesday in San Francisco, hoping to continue Joe Ingles Jersey his red-hot start to the season. However, Logan Webb, one of MLBs elite aces, will oppose him. Expect both pitchers to shove, leading to a lower-scoring affair. Mets vs. Giants odds Team Moneyline Run Line Total Mets +114 +1.5 (-192) o7 (-105) Giants -135 -1.5 (+160) u7 (-115 Odds via Explore More Mets vs. Giants Prediction Severinos fastball looks good, which is the key to his succe s. He struggled mightily with the pitch last season, leading to a devastating home run problem that juiced his ERA. However, hes locating it better, leading to improved results. Specifically, opposing hitters slugged .692 on Severinos fastball in 2023, but that mark is down to .281 in early 2024. Luis Severino, 97mph Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) As a result, he looks more like his old self. Hes allowed only five earned runs through his first four starts in Queens. Hes slightly overperforming (3.88 expected ERA), but his performance is encouraging. Meanwhile, Webb looks like a potential Cy Young candidate. Hes significantly improved the efficacy of his two secondary offerings, leading to three legitimate above-average offerings (sinker, changeup, sweeper). Logan Webb has retired 18 straight batters! Talkin Baseball (@TalkinBaseball_) Logan Webb #62 of the San Francisco Giants walks back to the dugout at Oracle Park on April 18, 2023 in San Francisco, California. Getty Images However, the real juicy part of this handicap is how Webb pitches at Oracle Park.He is nearly unhittable at home. He posted a 2.20 ERA acro s 111 home innings pitched last year. He has a career 2.70 ERA when pitching in the Bay Area. A big part of his home succe s comes from the fact that hes a ground-ball pitcher (career 58%) throwing in a pitchers park (Oracle ranks 27th in Statcasts Park Factors), but that shouldnt di suade us from backing him in these situations. Behind these two stud starters are two excellent relief corps. Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting Read about the Learn all about The Giants bullpen is underperforming, but its hard to imagine that continuing for the entire season. Camilio Doval, Tyler Rogers and Trevor Rogers are three excellent back-end relievers. Meanwhile, the Mets bullpen ranks first among bullpens in pitching WAR (1.5) and second in strikeout rate (29%). Edwin Diaz and Adam Ottavino look more like their old selves, allowing only three earned runs with 26 strikeouts in 16 innings. However, the breakout performances of Reed Garrett, Jake Diekman, Drew Smith and Jorge Lopez have made this unit nearly impenetrable. Mets vs. Giants pick These are two red-hot lineups. Still, the Mets are a tad banged up (Francisco Alvarez is on the 10-day IL), and the Giants project closer to a league-average offense in the long run, especially against right-handed pitchers. Ultimately, Ill back two stud starting pitchers especially Webb at Oracle and two elite bullpens, banking on a low-scoring contest in the Bay on Tuesday night. Pick: Under 7 (-115, ) Bojan Bogdanovic Jersey